Independent risk factors of COVID-19 pneumonia in vaccinated Mexican adults.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate host factors associated with the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia in vaccinated adults. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted in Mexico, and data from 1607 adults with confirmed illness, with a positive history of COVID-19 vaccination, were analyzed. Risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed as a measure of the significance of the associations between putative risk factors and the prevalence of COVID-19 pneumonia in vaccinated subjects. RESULTS: The overall risk of pneumonia was 1.98 per 1000 person-days. In the multiple regression analysis, older subjects, those with a history of smoking (current), obesity, and type 2 diabetes mellitus were at increased risk of pneumonia. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines may be reduced in a subset of adults who are older aged, smokers, obese, or have type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Physical distancing reduced the incidence of influenza and supports a favorable impact on SARS-CoV-2 spread in Mexico.

INTRODUCTION: Physical distancing preventive measures were implemented in Mexico as a response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (CoViD-19) pandemic. School closures occurred on March 16, 2020, in 10 out of 32 Mexican states, and one week later in the remaining states. Because the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the influenza virus have similar transmission mechanisms, we aimed to evaluate the impact of physical distancing on the incidence of influenza as a proxy of the impact on SARS-CoV-2 contagion. METHODOLOGY: A national flu surveillance system was cross-sectionally analyzed and daily average percent changes (APCs) of incidence rates were calculated throught Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Greater decreasing trends (APCs -8.8, 95% CI: -12.5, -4.5; vs. -6.0, 95% CI: -9.9, -2.0; p = 0.026) were documented in the states with earlier school closures and across age groups, suggesting that earlier implementation of physical distance results in reduced SARS-CoV-2 spread. CONCLUSIONS: Physical distancing policies decrease the incidence of influenza infections in Mexico; its favorable impact on the spread of SARS-CoV-2 is commendable.

Disability-Adjusted Life Years for Cancer in 2010⁻2014: A Regional Approach in Mexico.

The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to estimate the regional (state of Colima, Mexico) cancer burden in 2010⁻2014. The years of life lost (YLL) were estimated with mortality data and years lived with disability (YLD) using incidence data. The DALYs were calculated as the arithmetic addition of YLL and YLD. Sex and cancer site-specific estimations were made and DALY rates were used to identify the leading causes of disease burden. Data from 2532 deaths were analyzed and, for all malignant tumors combined, 18,712.9 DALYs and 20,243.3 DALYs were estimated in males and females respectively. The overall contribution of YLL in DALY estimates was higher among females (93.7% vs. 87.4%). Age-standardized DALY rates (and 95% confidence intervals, CI) per 100,000 inhabitants were used to rank the leading causes of disease burden and, among males, malignant tumors from the prostate, lower respiratory tract, and colon and rectum accounted the highest rates (45.7, 95% CI 32.7⁻59.3; 37.6, 95% CI 25.7⁻49.9; and 25.9, 95% CI 16.0⁻36.1 DALYs). Breast, cervix uteri, and lower respiratory tract cancer showed the highest burden in females (66.0, 95% CI 50.3⁻82.4; 44.4, 95% CI 31.5⁻57.7; and 20.9, 95% CI 12.0⁻30.0 DALYs). The present study provides an indication of the burden of cancer at the regional level, underscoring the need to expand cancer prevention, screening, and awareness programs, as well as to improve early diagnosis and medical treatment.

Persistent Arthralgia and Related Risks Factors: A Cohort Study at 12 Months from Laboratory-Confirmed Chikungunya Infection.

AIM OF THE STUDY: To assess the cumulative incidence and clinical markers associated with persistent arthralgia (PA) at 12 months from acute chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted in the state of Colima, Mexico, and 217 serologically confirmed cases of CHIKV infection were enrolled. Participants aged 15 years and older were interviewed on 6 months basis from acute illness onset and the main binary outcome was self-reported PA at 12 months. To assess clinical markers associated with PA we used a generalized linear model. The 2-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-2) was used to screen for depressive symptoms among PA-positive individuals. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of PA was 31.8%. In the generalized linear model, individuals ≥40 years of age (risk ratio (RR) = 1.68; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10-2.55) and those with 8 or more arthralgia sites (RR = 2.91, 95% CI 1.87-4.53) at acute disease had a significantly increased risk of PA at 12 months from CHIKV infection. Self-reported arthralgia (any site) at 3 months post-infection, a sub-chronic clinical marker, was also associated with a significantly increased risk of long-term articular manifestations (RR = 7.06, 95% CI 2.97-16.81). Depressive symptoms (PHQ-2 score ≥3) were reported by 33.3% of PA-positive participants. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that chronic CHKV-related articular manifestations were a frequent event in the study sample and the impact on functional status was potential. These results may be useful in health care settings in the risk-stratification of PA after CHIKV infection.

Expected years of life lost through road traffic injuries in Mexico.

BACKGROUND: Road traffic injuries (RTIs) are a leading cause of premature mortality, mainly in low- and middle-income countries Objective: To estimate the 2014 burden of RTIs in Mexico calculating years of life lost (YLL) and age-standardized YLL rates (ASYLL), and to evaluate sex, age, and region-related differences in premature mortality. METHODS: Mortality data were obtained from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography and 14,637 deaths of individuals 15 years of age and older were analyzed. The YLL and ASYLL were computed. RESULTS: The overall burden of RTIs was 332,922 YLL and 82.4% of the deaths occurred in males. Males from 25 to 34 years of age and females from 15 to 24 years of age showed the highest age-adjusted YLL rates (933 and 158 YLL per 100,000 inhabitants, respectively). The national ASYLL rate was 416 per 100,000 inhabitants and the highest state-stratified mortality rates were observed in Tabasco (851), Sinaloa (709), Durango (656), Zacatecas (642), and Baja California Sur (570). CONCLUSIONS: RTIs contributed to the premature mortality rate in the study population. Our findings may be useful from a health policy perspective for designing and prioritizing interventions focused on the prevention of premature loss of life.

Cost-Effectiveness of the Strategies to Reduce the Incidence of Dengue in Colima, México.

Dengue fever is considered to be one of the most important arboviral diseases globally. Unsuccessful vector-control strategies might be due to the lack of sustainable community participation. The state of Colima, located in the Western region of Mexico, is a dengue-endemic area despite vector-control activities implemented, which may be due to an insufficient health economic analysis of these interventions. A randomized controlled community trial took place in five urban municipalities where 24 clusters were included. The study groups (n = 4) included an intervention to improve the community participation in vector control (A), ultra-low volume (ULV) spraying (B), both interventions (AB), and a control group. The main outcomes investigated were dengue cumulative incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and the direct costs per intervention. The cumulative incidence of dengue was 17.4%, A; 14.3%, B; 14.4%, AB; and 30.2% in the control group. The highest efficiency and effectiveness were observed in group B (0.526 and 6.97, respectively) and intervention A was more likely to be cost-effective ($3952.84 per DALY avoided) followed by intervention B ($4472.09 per DALY avoided). Our findings suggest that efforts to improve community participation in vector control and ULV-spraying alone are cost-effective and may be useful to reduce the vector density and dengue incidence.

[Potential health risks from consumption of water with arsenic in Colima, Mexico]. / Riesgos potenciales de salud por consumo de agua con arsénico en Colima, México.

OBJECTIVE:: To estimate potential health risks due to chronic ingestion of arsenic from groundwater in Colima, Mexico. MATERIALS AND METHODS:: Samples were randomly taken in 36 wells from 10 local aquifers. Analysis was performed by ICP-OES following international standards. Geostatistical interpolation was performed with ArcGIS, implementing a model weighting inverse distance to estimate arsenic routes of exposure and consumption on each locality. The Hazard Quotient Ratio (HQ) and carcinogenic risk (R) for As were estimated. RESULTS:: The weighted average HQ for arsenic in Colima is 2.41. There are HQ> 1 values indicating adverse non-cancer health effects by continuous and prolonged intake of water with arsenic, which could affect 183 832 individuals in the state. The risk of developing any type of cancer among the population in this study due to high arsenic concentrations in groundwater (R) is 1.089E-3, which could statistically cause 446 cases of cancer. CONCLUSIONS:: Current levels of arsenic in groundwater increase carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic human health risks in Colima.

Persistent arthralgia and related risks factors in laboratory-confirmed cases of Chikungunya virus infection in Mexico / Artralgia persistente y factores de riesgos relacionados en casos confirmados por laboratorio de infección por el virus del Chikunguña en México / Artralgia persistente e fatores de riscos relacionados em casos confirmados em laboratório de infecção pelo vírus Chikungunya no México

Objective. To estimate the cumulative incidence of persistent arthralgia at 6 months from acute Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection and to evaluate the association of clinical markers with the risk of long-term arthralgia. Methods. This multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted in the Mexican state of Colima. A total of 136 individuals aged 15 years and older with serologically confirmed CHIKV infection were enrolled. Participants were interviewed at 6 months from the onset of symptoms, and self-reported persistent arthralgia (PA) was the main binary outcome. A self-report numeric rating scale (NRS) ranging from 0 to 10 was used to estimate the severity of articular pain. Results. The cumulative incidence of PA was 41.9%. Severe pain (NRS ≥ 7) presented in 36.8% of participants with PA. In multiple analysis, individuals aged 40 years and older (risk ratio (RR) = 1.60; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03–2.48) and those with articular pain at 3 months post-infection (RR = 3.95; 95% CI, 1.95–8.01) had a significantly increased risk of PA at 6 months from CHIKV infection. Conclusions. To the best of our knowledge, this is first report of a CHIKV-associated longterm outcome in Mexico, where the incidence of the infection has been high. This is also the first study in Latin America evaluating several factors associated with the risk of PA. Our findings may be useful in health care settings to stratify the risk of chronic arthralgia secondary to CHIKV infection and to identify patients who would benefit clinically from early medical intervention.

Objetivo. Calcular la incidencia acumulada de artralgia persistente en los 6 meses siguientes a la infección aguda por el virus del Chikunguña y evaluar la asociación entre los marcadores clínicos y el riesgo de artralgia a largo plazo. Método. Este estudio de cohortes multicéntrico y retrospectivo se condujo en el estado mexicano de Colima con la participación de un total de 136 personas de al menos 15 años de edad con infección aguda por el virus de Chikunguña serológicamente confirmada. Se entrevistó a los participantes en los seis meses posteriores al inicio de los síntomas, y la artralgia persistente autonotificada fue el principal resultado dicotómico. Para calcular la gravedad del dolor articular, se empleó una escala de clasificación numérica, en que el participante puntuaba la gravedad del dolor articular de 0 a 10. Resultados. La incidencia acumulada de artralgia persistente fue de 41,9%. De los participantes con artralgia persistente, 36,8% presentaron un dolor intenso (igual o mayor a 7 en la escala de clasificación numérica). En varios análisis, las personas de al menos 40 años de edad (razón de riesgo [RR] = 1,60; intervalo de confianza [IC] de 95%, 1,03–2,48) y las personas que experimentaban dolor articular en los tres meses posteriores a la infección (RR = 3,95; IC de 95%, 1,95–8,01) tenían un riesgo significativamente mayor de padecer artralgia persistente en los seis meses siguientes a la infección aguda por el virus del Chikunguña. Conclusiones. En la medida de nuestro conocimiento, este es el primer informe acerca de un resultado a largo plazo asociado a la infección aguda por el virus del Chikunguña en México, donde se ha registrado una incidencia alta de la infección. También es el primer estudio en el que se evalúan varios factores asociados al riesgo de artralgia persistente realizado en América Latina. Nuestros resultados pueden ser útiles en los establecimientos de atención de salud para estratificar el riesgo de padecer artralgia crónica subsecuente a la infección aguda por el virus de Chikunguña e identificar a los pacientes que se beneficiarían clínicamente de una intervención médica temprana.

Objetivo. Calcular a incidência acumulada de artralgia persistente após 6 meses de infecção aguda pelo vírus Chikungunya (CHIKV, sigla em inglês) e avaliar a associação de marcadores clínicos com o risco de artralgia a longo prazo. Métodos. Este estudo de coorte retrospectivo e multicêntrico foi realizado no estado mexicano de Colima. Um total de 136 indivíduos com idade a partir de 15 anos e infecção pelo CHIKV confirmada por sorologia foram incluídos. Os participantes foram entrevistados 6 meses após o surgimento dos sintomas. O desfecho binário principal foi artralgia persistente (AP) autorrelatada. Uma escala numérica autorrelatada de 0 a 10 foi utilizada para calcular a gravidade da artralgia. Resultados. A incidência acumulada de AP foi 41,9%. Dor intensa (≥ 7 na escala numérica) foi relatada por 36,8% dos participantes com PA. A análise múltipla revelou risco significantemente elevado de AP 6 meses após infecção pelo CHIKV nos indivíduos com idade igual ou superior a 40 anos (razão de risco (RR) = 1,60; intervalo de confiança (IC) de 95% = 1,03–2,48) e naqueles com dor articular 3 meses após a infecção (RR = 3,95; IC 95% = 1,95–8,01). Conclusões. Até onde sabemos, este é o primeiro relato de um desfecho a longo prazo associado à infecção por CHIKV no México, país onde a incidência desta infecção foi elevada. Este é também o primeiro estudo realizado na América Latina a avaliar vários fatores associados com o risco de AP. Nossos achados talvez sejam úteis para estratificação do risco de artralgia crônica secundária à infecção pelo CHIKV e para identificação de pacientes nos quais intervenção médica precoce poderia ser benéfica do ponto de vista clínico.

Riesgos potenciales de salud por consumo de agua con arsénico en Colima, México / Potential health risks from consumption of water with arsenic in Colima, Mexico

Resumen: Objetivo: Estimar los riesgos potenciales de salud debidos a la ingestión crónica de arsénico (As) en agua en Colima, México. Material y métodos: Se muestrearon aleatoriamente 36 pozos en 10 acuíferos locales. El análisis se hizo mediante ICP-OES siguiendo estándares internacionales. Se realizó una interpolación geoestadística con ArcGIS, implementando un modelo de ponderación del inverso de la distancia, para estimar la ruta de exposición de consumo en cada localidad. Se calcularon los coeficientes de peligro (HQ) y riesgo carcinogénico (R). Resultados: El HQ promedio ponderado de As para Colima es 2.41. Existen valores de HQ>1 para As que indican efectos adversos no carcinogénicos para la salud por ingestión continua y prolongada de agua; esto podría afectar a 183 832 individuos en el estado. El riesgo calculado de desarrollar cáncer debido a las concentraciones de arsénico en aguas subterráneas (R) es de 1.089E-3; estadísticamente esto podría ocasionar 446 casos de cáncer. Conclusiones: Los niveles actuales de arsénico en el agua de pozo incrementan los riesgos carcinogénicos y no carcinogénicos de salud humana en Colima.

Abstract: Objective: To estimate potential health risks due to chronic ingestion of arsenic from groundwater in Colima, Mexico. Materials and methods: Samples were randomly taken in 36 wells from 10 local aquifers. Analysis was performed by ICP-OES following international standards. Geostatistical interpolation was performed with ArcGIS, implementing a model weighting inverse distance to estimate arsenic routes of exposure and consumption on each locality. The Hazard Quotient Ratio (HQ) and carcinogenic risk (R) for As were estimated. Results: The weighted average HQ for arsenic in Colima is 2.41. There are HQ> 1 values indicating adverse non-cancer health effects by continuous and prolonged intake of water with arsenic, which could affect 183 832 individuals in the state. The risk of developing any type of cancer among the population in this study due to high arsenic concentrations in groundwater (R) is 1.089E-3, which could statistically cause 446 cases of cancer. Conclusions: Current levels of arsenic in groundwater increase carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic human health risks in Colima.

Health Impacts from Corn Production Pre-and Post-NAFTA Trade Agreement (1986-2013).

UNLABELLED: Life cycle assessment (LCA) is a powerful methodology for the study of health impacts and public policies. We performed this study to quantitatively explain the potential health impacts on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of corn produced in Mexico and imported from the United States of America (U.S.) from 1984 until 2014. The processes are hybrid and organic corn production. The functional unit was defined as 1 ton of corn production. Results indicate a total value of 178,431, 244,175, and 283,426 DALYs of three decades: 1984-1993, 1994-2003, and 2004-2013, of Mexican production; the U.S. production and transport were also calculated, showing values of 29,815, 65,837, and 107,729 for the same three decades. Additionally, DALYs were obtained for the category of human health and climate change by functional unit: 802.31 (1984-1993), 802.67 (1994-2003), and 803.92 (2004-2013), and for imported corn transported to Mexico from the U.S., 859.12 (1984-2013). DALYs on human toxicity were obtained: 99.05 (1984-1993), 99.05 (1994-2003), and 99.04 (2004-2013), and for the corn imported and transported to Mexico from the U.S., 116.25 (1984-2013). CONCLUSIONS: Environmental and health impacts in terms of DALYs are higher when corn is imported versus the corn produced in Mexico. Environmental health and nominal corn cultivation and transport impacts have increased as a result of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Mexico needs to redefine its public policies to suffer less of an environmental burden from corn to ensure global environmental health and food security.